01
PRIVATE PARTICIPATION
No public user pages, rankings or follower counts. The market sees aggregate participation, not identities.
Private market for arbitration outcomes
Selected cases. Real-world outcomes. Private positions.
Real cases.
Real positions.
Real outcomes.
Take a private position on the outcome of a selected judicial proceeding. Participants form the pool. The court determines the outcome. Winning positions share the settlement pool proportionally to stake.
01 / Active markets
A small number of cases. Real concentration.
Judgement.bet does not try to turn every dispute into a market. Lots are selected where the event can be resolved cleanly and where informed participants already have a reason to form a view.
02 / How it works
Case → Position → Judgement → Settlement.
You take a position on one of the possible outcomes and determine its size. Market rules and settlement criteria are known in advance. Judgement.bet operates the market; it does not take the opposite side of the trade.
01
CASE
A selected real-world commercial dispute is admitted as a market lot. The outcome rules are fixed before the market opens.
02
POSITION
Participants privately choose one of the predefined outcomes and determine the size of their position. The interface shows the aggregate pool and distribution — not the people behind it.
03
JUDGEMENT
The real proceeding continues independently of the market. The designated judicial act — not opinion, voting or platform discretion — resolves the lot.
04
SETTLEMENT
After resolution, the settlement pool is allocated to the winning side. Participants on that side receive it proportionally to the size of their winning positions, under the published rules of the lot.
03 / Protocol
Private by design. Deterministic by rule.
The market is built around the case, not around public personalities. Identity stays private; outcome criteria, pool mechanics and settlement rules stay explicit.
02
POOL-BASED MARKET
Participants create the market through their positions. The operator is paid for operating the market rather than for a particular arbitration outcome.
03
REAL-WORLD OUTCOME
The permitted outcomes and the exact resolution source are fixed before the lot opens. The operator does not reinterpret the event after the fact.
04
PRO RATA SETTLEMENT
Winning participants share the settlement pool proportionally to their winning positions. A larger position means a larger share of the winning side.
04 / Access
Not everyone needs to be here.
Judgement.bet is distributed around specific markets and relevant participants. No mass registration, public leaderboard or audience-building layer is required.
Private access layer
Request access
Leave a contact for the private distribution list. This prototype does not transmit data to a backend.
05 / Market Formation
The case creates the interest. Judgement creates the market.
A lot opens only when the proceeding is suitable for clean resolution and there is a credible circle of participants with a reason to take a position. Distribution is targeted by design.
Judgement.bet
Maximum simultaneous lots10
Minimum position10K
Public identitiesNONE
Winning pool allocationPRO RATA
Operator exposure to outcomeNEUTRAL